201 2018 Midterm Elections Roundup!

It’s all news this week as we talk about the mass shooting in Thousand Oaks, CA, Ivanka Trump patenting voting machines in China, and the 2018 midterm election results.

In This Episode

After seeing all the chatter online about the 2018 midterm election results (some of which are still in question), we decided to dedicate an episode to talking about what really happened, how we feel about it, and what this means for 2020.

Content warning: mass shooting, politics

News

Joke in the Middle

Election Results Discussion

Outline

Results
– House vs Senate
– Florida, Georgia
– Prop 12
– Progressive wins
– Key issues, stats

Address Myths/Frustrations around Voting
– Shaming those who didn’t vote
– Access
– Time/work
– Knowledge
– Saying it “takes 10 minutes”
– Mail-in/early ballots

Future
– 2020 election – Dem picks
– How leaders and politicians can push the progressive agenda forward

Voter Turnout
An estimated 113 million people participated in the 2018 midterm elections, making this the first midterm in history to exceed over 100 million votes, with 49 percent of eligible voters participating in the election.

“In the last three decades, we’ve had about 40 percent of those eligible to vote participating in midterm elections. If we get in the upper end of that range, if we can beat the 1966 49-percent turnout rate, you’d have to go all the way back to 1914 to get a turnout rate above 50 percent,” McDonald said last week.
From https://www.cbsnews.com/news/record-voter-turnout-in-2018-midterm-elections/

Exit polls show Trump is a major factor in voters’ decisions
Early exit poll results suggest that President Donald Trump was a factor that significantly affected voting for the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. Nearly two-thirds of those voters said President Trump was a factor. One-quarter of those casting a House ballot said they did so in part to support him. Four in ten said they cast a vote to oppose him. Only one-third said he played no role in their voting.
From https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/2018-midterm-elections-results-polls-us-races-live-updates-today-2018-11-06/

Voting Results
Democrats gained a net 27 seats in the House of Representatives, gaining control of the chamber, while Republicans expanded their majority by gaining a net two seats in the Senate. Democrats also flipped gubernatorial seats in seven states, notably in Kansas and Wisconsin. Several Senate races remain too close to call, including in Florida and Arizona.
From https://www.cbsnews.com/news/record-voter-turnout-in-2018-midterm-elections/

Andrew Gillum in Florida, where he fell short in his bid to become Governor, and Beto O’Rourke in Texas, who came close to ousting the conservative torchbearer Ted Cruz with a spirited campaign that garnered attention across the nation and even internationally.
From https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/07/bernie-sanders-midterms-progressive-2020-president

Tuesday was a historic night for women and minorities in America, with voters sending the first LGBTQ, Native American, and Muslim women to the halls of Congress and governor’s mansions.

More women will be serving in Congress than ever before after the 2018 midterms — many of them minorities as well. In Kansas, Democrat Sharice Davids became one of the first Native American women elected to the United States legislature; New Mexico’s Deb Haaland became the other. And Congress will get not one, but two Muslim women serving for the first time ever: Minnesota’s Ilhan Omar and Michigan’s Rashida Tlaib, both of whom won by resounding margins. Democrat Ayanna Pressley will become the first black woman to represent Massachusetts in the House.

It wasn’t only women who triumphed on election night: In Colorado, Jared Polis became the United States’ first openly gay man elected governor. And there were victories at the state level, too: Florida elected its first Iranian-American lawmaker to the state legislature.

But 2018 wasn’t an across-the-board win for all the candidates looking to make history.

Two of the races that had drawn the most attention in the weeks before Election Day went to white Republican men: Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum lost his bid to become Florida’s first African-American governor by 1 point. And Democrat Stacey Abrams, who served as the minority leader of Georgia’s House of Representatives before running to become Georgia and the nation’s first black female governor, trails Republican Brian Kemp by about 75,000 votes.

But even when the candidates weren’t successful, some of them made history just by running: Vermont’s Christine Hallquist may have lost, but still blazed trails as the nation’s first openly trans gubernatorial candidate, and Abrams was America’s first major party African-American woman nominee for governor. (She has not yet conceded.)

The slate of 2018 candidates mirrored the history-making turns that dozens of Democratic candidates for municipal and state office made last year: Transgender candidates won races in four states, cities in Minnesota and Montana elected their first black mayors, and Charlotte, North Carolina, elected a black woman as mayor for the first time.
From https://www.vox.com/2018/11/7/18072658/midterm-election-results-historic-wins-muslim-native-american-women

2020 Election
In Ohio, Senator Sherrod Brown said his re-election in a state Trump won proved that “progressives can win – and win decisively – in the heartland”.
From https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/07/democratic-presidential-candidates-2020

Larry Sabato, who runs the University of Virginia’s election forecasting project “Crystal Ball”, predicted that O’Rourke might be drafted to run in 2020 because no one in the potential Democratic field “seems to come close to matching his appeal to the grassroots”.
From https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/07/democratic-presidential-candidates-2020

Sanders said he is “talking to a lot of people and doing a lot of analysis” about what candidate was best suited to win in the battleground states that Hillary Clinton lost.

Among his possible opponents, should he run, are the former vice-president Joe Biden, Sanders’ fellow senators Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris and Cory Booker, as well as a handful of governors, mayors and business executives. That’s not counting rising Democratic stars who narrowly lost races on Tuesday
From https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/07/bernie-sanders-midterms-progressive-2020-president

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